Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 4.145006 4.932825 5.809017 6.852775 8.059152 9.406448 11.021695
2025-09-21 2.993011 3.999761 5.234264 6.847158 8.885104 11.359599 14.574831
2025-09-28 2.280262 3.359934 4.795737 6.817972 9.560943 13.115896 18.028646
2025-10-05 1.945994 3.110969 4.767448 7.246952 10.805655 15.659701 22.695018
2025-10-12 1.645174 2.832743 4.626319 7.460140 11.733477 17.825300 27.021069
2025-10-19 1.437418 2.646408 4.573405 7.766600 12.793542 20.237032 31.869334
2025-10-26 1.213830 2.386376 4.355702 7.771698 13.373367 21.968913 35.841817
2025-11-02 0.989389 2.078251 4.005215 7.502075 13.469414 22.947185 38.724349
2025-11-09 0.811691 1.818517 3.692515 7.242850 13.533485 23.851824 41.527873
2025-11-16 0.702436 1.668673 3.550745 7.255800 14.041898 25.491046 45.598883
2025-11-23 0.611660 1.538072 3.423304 7.272818 14.547894 27.150626 49.804097
2025-11-30 0.526512 1.401971 3.263074 7.203228 14.881770 28.529731 53.618695
2025-12-07 0.429010 1.218943 2.982708 6.869976 14.706134 29.031262 56.015150
2025-12-14 0.371064 1.117852 2.860043 6.838787 15.100806 30.578391 60.354654
2025-12-21 0.321384 1.026160 2.742921 6.802029 15.476344 32.112769 64.770284
2025-12-28 0.306943 1.025371 2.834687 7.227725 16.822558 35.553975 72.885438
2026-01-04 0.281235 0.987345 2.831483 7.439677 17.743325 38.244340 79.767963
2026-01-11 0.262923 0.966764 2.867802 7.745167 18.886410 41.439273 87.790221
2026-01-18 0.232491 0.901924 2.781240 7.750184 19.379099 43.380933 93.524648
2026-01-25 0.194989 0.804378 2.591912 7.481202 19.238172 44.034238 96.785236
2026-02-01 0.163573 0.717922 2.416903 7.222612 19.090475 44.653920 100.004168
2026-02-08 0.145430 0.673089 2.351612 7.235528 19.568044 46.602224 105.996956
2026-02-15 0.129586 0.632241 2.290965 7.252503 20.055023 48.599380 112.199363